The Real Reason Iran Hasn’t Struck a Deal

www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

“An institution that has survived multiple rounds of air strikes, international isolation, and the death of much of its senior leadership does not capitulate because a few more names are removed from the org chart..” www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

🎁🖇️The Real Reason Iran Hasn’t Struck a Deal The standoff isn’t about hard-liners blocking pragmatists inside Iran, but about both sides believing that they have won the war. By Thomas Wright May 1, 2026, 9:42 AM ET www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

There are essentially 4 Options: 1. Open the Strait w/o sanction relief or nuclear/ missile limits 2. Continue the blockade and hope Iran breaks first (it won't) 3. A massive attack trying to shock Iran into giving up (it won't) 4. A semi-permanent status quo where Iran controls the Strait.

"To every thing there is a season, and a time to every purpose under heaven." Ecclesiastes 3:1, and The Byrds. The time for peace is not yet upon us, nor even on the horizon. www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

——————— “…Iran has resisted U.S. demands to completely cease enriching uranium, and to curb its missile program, for years. It has gone to war with the U.S. & Israel twice…The Iranian regime is not likely to give away at the negotiating table what it believes America was unable to gain through war.”

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Analysts suggest Iran avoids a deal because both Tehran and Washington believe they have already won the war. Despite a US blockade, Iran remains convinced of its leverage over global energy, while Trump insists a total "cry uncle" surrender is the only path forward.

Have you seen this piece? Pretty good assessment of the (lose-lose) situation. www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

“The United States went to war to deal the Islamic Republic a devastating blow from which it would never recover. The war has damaged Iran’s military capacity, but it also has handed Tehran more leverage over global energy markets and the Gulf States than it has ever possessed.“

There's no US/Iran deal because both sides think they're winning

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Iran and the United States both believe that they have won the war 🙄 Trump says the United States has destroyed Iran’s navy, air force, and industrial capacity. But Iran has withstood war, attacked the Persian Gulf and Israel, and controlled the Strait of Hormuz. www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

"Iran and the United States have failed to come to an agreement not because hard-liners are blocking pragmatists inside Iran, but because both sides seem to sincerely believe that they have won the war."

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Donald Trump illegally started a war against Iran, which he promptly lost. He’s handed the dictatorial Iranian regime an immense amount of owed they previously did not have and humiliated and weakened the United States. www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

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📰 The Atlantic The Real Reason Iran Hasn’t Struck a Deal ⟶ The Atlantic | headline in context

The Real Reason Iran Hasn't Struck a Deal ->The Atlantic | More on "Iran nuclear deal negotiations stalemate" at BigEarthData.ai | #Iran

Incredibly (but then perhaps not so for Trump 2) the Admin still seems to be persuading itself that the Iranian regime is fractured and further limited strikes will enable it to use that to break the deadlock: www.theatlantic.com/internationa... (27/43)

In other words, MAGA: ya’ boy f***ed up www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

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The Real Reason Iran Hasn’t Struck a Deal www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

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