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New York Times politics

Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms (Gift Article)

Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/30/technology/polymarket-kalshi-midterm-elections.html?unlocked_article_code=1.MlE.FLCa.l0JecJY-i7Hb
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/30/technology/polymarket-kalshi-midterm-elections.html?unlocked_article_code=1.MlE.dewG.apk2-LXpLD37
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/30/technology/polymarket-kalshi-midterm-elections.html?unlocked_article_code=1.MlE.Hax4.KYkALgsEOaQM
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/30/technology/polymarket-kalshi-midterm-elections.html?unlocked_article_code=1.MlE.YUdM.qaWavJ6WsFzp

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